Time Freedom Trading 2025.09.10 Wednesday - The WTF - PRE MARKET REPORT


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TIME FREEDOM TRADING

"Trade the Turn. Defend the Edge. Compound to Freedom."

WTF PRE-MARKET REPORT Wednesday, SEPTEMBER 10th 2025

Yesterday’s inside-day doji was your neon sign: the top is chop, and chasing pops is how you get faded. Today, we’ve got fresh fuel — the PPI print came in –0.1% for August, well below the +0.3% estimate. Core PPI cooled too. Translation: wholesale inflation just gave the Fed a green light to cut rates at the September meeting. Markets love liquidity, but don’t forget: sugar highs wear off quick at all-time highs.

And in after-hours theatrics, Oracle tried to rewrite the script. They missed earnings, but their 1,529% explosion in multicloud database revenue turned heads. Narrative > numbers? For now, Wall Street’s buying the story.

Key Events Today

  • PPI Cooldown: Fed cut odds just shot higher. CPI still the kingmaker later this week.
  • Earnings Stragglers: Guidance, misses, and moonshot promises still moving tape.
  • Election Noise: Background risk rising as policy chatter heats up.

Premarket Movers – Post-Labor Day Shakeout

  • Oracle (ORCL) — Up 32% after multicloud database revenue from Amazon, Google, and Microsoft grew an eye-popping 1,529%. That’s enough to make Wall Street forget the actual earnings miss. Narrative is doing the heavy lifting.
  • GameStop (GME) — Meme stock magic: +10% after Q2 earnings of $0.25/share crushed expectations. Revenue clocked in at $972M, but the kicker? Their bitcoin stash is now worth $528.6M. Meme traders are calling it validation.
  • Novo Nordisk (NVO) — +1% despite announcing 9,000 job cuts (11.5% of workforce). The company is reallocating to its weight-loss/obesity pipeline (Wegovy) — the market’s shrugging, seeing it as strategic pruning.
  • Bill Holdings (BILL) — +5% after reports that Starboard Value is pushing four nominees onto the board. Activist involvement = playbook for near-term upside.
  • AeroVironment (AVAV) — +2.8% after revenue of $455M beat expectations ($440M), though earnings missed. Fiscal 2026 guide: $3.60–$3.70/share EPS on $1.9B–$2B revenue — slightly shy of consensus top line, but traders like the growth trajectory.
  • Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) — +2% after August revenue hit NT$335.77B, a 33.8% YoY jump. Chip cycle still in gear — semis refuse to cool off.
  • Rubrik (RBRK) — –2.8% despite narrower-than-expected Q2 loss (–$0.03 vs –$0.04). Revenue beat at $310M vs $282M, but market’s in “show me more” mode.
  • Synopsys (SNPS) — –23% collapse after Q3 results disappointed: $3.39 EPS vs $3.74 expected, $1.74B revenue vs $1.77B consensus. When the toolmaker misses, semis listen.

Strengths: PPI cooling unlocks rate-cut potential. Risk-on appetite alive in tech, chips, and selective activist plays.

Weaknesses: Market breadth still thin. Oracle’s 32% moonshot looks more like mania than measured rotation. Yesterday’s doji candle screams indecision.

Opportunities: Rotation into rate-sensitive sectors (REITs, financials) if CPI confirms. Meme crowd back in play via GME — volatility = setups.

Threats: False breakouts at highs. Oracle’s AI pump could reverse hard. Synopsys miss raises yellow flags on semi-tool momentum. Election rhetoric brewing under the surface.

Mindset Moment

"The prudent see danger and take refuge, but the simple keep going and pay the penalty." — Proverbs 27:12

Don’t confuse noise for opportunity. Oracle’s 1,500% growth headline is catnip, but discipline — not dopamine — compounds wealth. The wise trader waits for alignment: catalyst, trend, setup, confirmation.

Final Word

PPI just gave the Fed cover. Oracle just gave the market a sugar rush. Meme stocks and activists are lighting side pockets. But clarity is still the edge: don’t chase, rotate. Don’t guess, prepare.

One trade. One turn. One moment of clarity. That’s the formula. You’re just one trade away.

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Because you’re just one trade away.

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