Time Freedom Trading 2025.09.18 Thursday - The WTF - PRE MARKET REPORT


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WTF PRE-MARKET REPORT Thursday, SEPTEMBER 18th 2025

The Fed finally pulled the trigger: a .25% rate cut, and the dot plot hints more easing is on deck. Markets did what markets do—cheered it with a rally. Futures are green across the board, powered by GDP revisions showing strength and job data that keeps the consumer story alive. Meanwhile, Trump is across the pond closing $10B+ UK tech deals—tariffs, AI, and transatlantic trade are fueling the macro fire.

But the headline shocker? Nvidia dropping $5 billion into Intel. Yes, you read that right—Team AI investing in a rival chipmaker to co-develop data center and PC products. Intel is up a face-melting 30% premarket, dragging the entire semiconductor sector into hyperdrive. Nvidia itself is bouncing back +3% after a bruising day yesterday.

This isn’t just news—it’s a rotation trigger. Money is moving. Pay attention.

Premarket Movers:

  • Intel (INTC) — +30% 🚀 after Nvidia’s $5B investment to co-develop chips. Sector shockwave.
  • Nvidia (NVDA) — +3% rebound on the Intel deal, reclaiming AI leadership narrative.
  • Novo Nordisk (NVO) — +7.6% after obesity pill trial results matched Wegovy success. Pharma flex.
  • Bullish (BULL) — +7.3% after first earnings beat expectations post-IPO. Crypto exchange proving traction.
  • Cracker Barrel (CBRL) — -7.2% on weak EPS miss despite revenue beat. Grandma’s biscuits can’t hold margins.
  • StubHub (STUB) — -1% after losing 6.4% on its IPO debut. Scalpers not yet cashing in.
  • Quantum Stocks — IonQ +5.7%, Quantum Computing +4.8%, Rigetti +4%, D-Wave +2.5% after DOE space-tech pact. Future frontier flows.
  • CrowdStrike (CRWD) — +5% after investor day guidance, Salesforce partnership, and AI acquisition. Cybersecurity rotation play.
  • Darden Restaurants (DRI) — -6.4% after EPS miss, despite in-line revenue. Breadsticks not saving the quarter.
  • PayPal (PYPL) — +2.5% on Alphabet AI-payments partnership. Fintech revival narrative.
  • Vaccine Makers — Moderna, BioNTech +2%, Pfizer small gains on confirmed insurance coverage.
  • Amer Sports (AS) — +7% after raising guidance to high-20% revenue growth. Athletic momentum.
  • Nucor (NUE) — -3.7% on weak Q3 earnings guidance. Steel softening across segments.
  • Nike (NKE) — +2% on RBC upgrade to outperform. Stronger recovery thesis.

Chips Sector Edition

Strengths: Capital and confidence are pouring into semis, with Nvidia-Intel reshaping the landscape. AI capex and data center demand remain secular drivers, making chips the backbone of tech’s next decade.

Weaknesses: Supply chains remain fragile, geopolitical risk (China, tariffs, export controls) is a shadow that won’t leave. Intel’s execution history is shaky—can they deliver on new promises?

Opportunities: Partnerships (NVDA + INTC), government incentives (CHIPS Act 2.0), and AI adoption from edge to enterprise are creating asymmetric upside. Every pullback in this sector is being bought with conviction.

Threats: Rising competition in AI accelerators, regulatory probes (China’s antitrust push), and the risk of overvaluation. When everyone piles into the same trade, corrections get bloody fast.

Mindset Moment: The Season

“For everything there is a season, and a time for every matter under heaven.” — Ecclesiastes 3:1

The market just reminded us: timing is everything. Rate cuts open a new season. Chip money flow opens a new rotation. But clarity comes not from chasing the frenzy—it comes from aligning your trades with the tide, not just the wave.

This Sunday, our Providence Cohort kicks off—designed for those who want more than profits. It’s for those ready to align wealth, time, and purpose into a system that compounds into freedom.

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One trade. One turn. One moment of clarity.
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Because you’re just one trade away.

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The market pays those who wait for the turn and strike with conviction.
See you on the next trade.

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