TIME FREEDOM TRADING

The WTF PREMARKET REPORT

FRIDAY, JULY 18, 2025​
​"One trade. One turn. One moment of clarity. That’s all it takes."

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MARKET SNAPSHOT

“Don’t just close your week—close your edge. Fridays are for professionals, not panic-chasers.”

The market just broke another record—and you’re still debating if it’s too high to buy? That’s like skipping dessert because the cake looks too delicious. Come on… trade the setup, not your skepticism.

TOP 6 MARKET CATALYSTS THIS MORNING

1. RECORD RUN – Samp;P 500 & QQQ: ATH Club
   • Momentum is king and the indexes are wearing crowns. SPY and QQQ hit all-time highs again on Thursday. Earnings beats, bullish macro data, and crypto euphoria = the trifecta fueling the July melt-up.
2. Crypto Week Closes on a Blaze
   • BTC holding strong at $121K, ETH bouncing off $7K. Institutions accumulating, ETFs seeing inflows. COIN, RIOT, MARA surging into the weekend. But beware the weekend liquidity trap.
3. FED RATE CUT BACK IN PLAY
   • Fed speakers hint at a “live discussion” for a July rate cut, citing softening inflation and tightening credit. Futures markets now price \~68% odds of a 25bps cut at month’s end.
   • The market’s loving the idea. Don’t fight the Fed when they’re finally fighting for you.
4. FED $2.7B CONSTRUCTION PROJECT UNDER FIRE
   • IG audit launched into a massive Fed facility modernization plan. Early leaks suggest vendor bloat and tech overruns. This adds fuel to political tension—and eyes are now on how the Fed manages its own inflation. Ironic, right?
5. HOUSING DATA MIXED: A Market on the Edge
   • Housing Starts dropped 2.1% MoM — the lowest level since early 2023.
   • Building Permits rose slightly, up 0.9%, signaling future supply still coming.
   • Takeaway? Builders are cautious but not quitting. Watch ITB (homebuilders) and HD/LOW into earnings. The Fed rate path directly impacts housing velocity.
6. Pre-Market Movers: IBKR, CVX, HES, CRYPTO
   • IBKR spikes on trading desk revenue surge.
   • Chevron (CVX) and Hess (HES) climb on post-storm supply concerns.
   • COIN, HOOD, CRCL, Bitcoin Miners

TODAY’S ECONOMIC RELEASE:

⏰ 10:00AM ET – University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment

• Key focus: Inflation Expectations
• If expectations drop = confirmation bias for July rate cut → bullish.
• If expectations rise = yields spike → tech cools. Eyes on bonds.

TRADING INSIGHT OF THE DAY

“Profit isn’t a mystery—it’s the reward for repeating precision.” We’re at highs. Don’t get emotional—get strategic. This is where small wins stack and bad habits blow up.

🔧 Tactical Plays:

• QQQ: Don’t buy the open—wait for VWAP retrace.
• Crypto Stocks: Ride momentum early; trim into mid-morning fade.
• Ride momentum on a pull back

Use the T.U.R.N.™ Framework:

• Tune In → Internals strong, but VIX 16 = chop possible.
• Understand Rotation → Crypto, Tech, Select Energy.
• Retracement Setup → Don’t trust the first 5-minute candle.
• Nail the Power Zone → Strike when volume + momentum align.

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SWOT SNAPSHOT

Strengths:

• All-time highs, bullish momentum, strong earnings beat rate.
• Rate cut odds increasing + consumer still spending.

Weaknesses:

• RSI stretched. Sentiment euphoric. Friday = trap territory.
• Low VIX signals potential complacency rug-pull risk.

Opportunities:

• Crypto, Tech, and housing-sensitive stocks in play.
• Swing setups forming into next week’s mega-cap earnings wave.

Threats:

• Michigan inflation sentiment surprise.
• Fed audit could politicize monetary tools again—watch headlines.
• Weekend profit-taking on stretched names = snapbacks incoming.

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MINDSET MOMENT

Biblical Truth: When the path looks confusing, don’t just charge—consult the compass. Strategy is your way of acknowledging divine design in the data.

Why it matters: All-time highs can make you greedy. But greed kills clarity. Get aligned. Be intentional. And let God guide your goals, not your gut.

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FINAL WORD

The week was explosive. The setups are stretched. The traders with discipline? They’re tightening up—not chasing down.

👉 Don’t be the hero on a Friday. Be the sniper. Stack gains. Protect capital. Prep your battle plan for Big Tech week.

One trade. One turn. One moment of clarity. Because time freedom isn’t a dream—it’s a decision. You’re just one trade away. 💥

E.D.G.E. = Exceptional Discipline Generates Excellence

Your edge = ✔ Trade the T.U.R.N.™ ✔ Follow the E.D.G.E.™ Protocol ✔ Compound through consistency

In a world where your retirement may be invested in risky, opaque assets you can’t even pronounce… The smartest move is learning to trade your way free.

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—The Bald Bull | Time Freedom Trading™

“One trade. One turn. One moment of clarity. That’s all it takes.”

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