TIME FREEDOM TRADING

The WTF PRE MARKET REPORT

THURSDAY, JULY 17, 2025​
​"One trade. One turn. One moment of clarity. That’s all it takes."

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MARKET SNAPSHOT

🎤 Trump Talk = Market Magnet

Trump’s campaign momentum continues fueling market expectations of deregulation, tax incentives, and private equity access to retirement accounts. If he pushes the executive order on 401(k)s, asset managers and fintech platforms stand to benefit.

📉 The Fed: Asleep at the Pivot?

Retail sales are rising. Earnings aren’t imploding. Inflation isn’t crashing. Translation? The Fed may have missed their window. But they keep tap-dancing across the country in speeches before the blackout period kicks in. Today’s jobless claims and Philly Fed data may nudge the bond market’s expectations further.

💰 Earnings Season Has a Pulse

With Goldman Sachs posting their best trading quarter in history, the Street is suddenly optimistic about capital markets revenue, fintech, and investment banking flow. Keep an eye on regional banks today for sympathy plays.

🪙 Crypto Clarification Advances

Congress has advanced three digital asset bills—aimed at defining tokens, regulating stablecoins, and giving clarity to crypto exchanges. Institutional adoption finally has a clearer path. COIN, HOOD, and Bitcoin proxies could squeeze higher if the bills keep moving forward.

TOP HEADLINES FOR THE DAY

Trump Pushes Private Equity into 401(k)s

The former president hints at an executive order to allow private equity access to retirement accounts—potentially unlocking a flood of retail capital into alternative investments. Wall Street’s ears just perked up.

Retail Sales Beat Expectations

June’s retail sales report shows consumer strength despite rate headwinds. Spending is up in auto, home goods, and restaurants—reinforcing economic resilience and giving stocks another leg to run.

Crypto Gets Congressional Traction

Three major cryptocurrency bills advanced in Congress:

• Stablecoin regulation
• Token classification
• This signals real momentum for U.S. digital asset clarity. COIN, HOOD, and even BTC proxy stocks are seeing speculative inflows.

Beige Book Recap: “Modest Growth, Tight Labor”

Yesterday’s Fed Beige Book showed sluggish hiring and slight wage softening—but nothing dramatic. Markets interpreted it as another delay tactic from Powell & Co.

Fed Speakers Continue Pre-Blackout Blitz

Multiple FOMC members on deck today, delivering final messaging before the Fed blackout period. Expect continued ambiguity… but traders will be listening for cracks.

Goldman Sachs Declares Trading Boom

$840M in trading revenue in Q2—GS posts its best trading quarter in history. Signals continued strength in market-making, derivatives, and volatility plays.

DAILY SWOT ANALYSIS: JULY 17, 2025

🟢 STRENGTHS

• Earnings resilience: Key financials (GS, MS) showing robust trading profits.
• Positive macro data: Retail sales trending up = consumer still spending.
• Crypto legislation: Institutional doors creaking open.

🔴 WEAKNESSES

• Fed inaction: Delayed rate cuts could choke off a soft landing.
• Market internals: Breadth improvement needed—recent rallies led by a narrow group.
• Volatility complacency: VIX nearing complacent territory (<15) = risk of snapback.

🟡 OPPORTUNITIES

• Crypto sector rotation: COIN, MARA, RIOT back in play on legislation.
• Bank breakouts: Regionals may catch a sympathy bid post-GS earnings.
• Pre-election positioning: Energy, industrials, and infrastructure plays aligning with Trump narrative.

⚫ THREATS

• Overstretched tech: AI names may be due for a pullback.
• Geopolitical risk: China chip tension lingers even after partial NVDA chip approval.
• Earnings landmines: Next week’s tech earnings could reset sentiment fast.

THURSDAY MARKET TENDENCIES:

Historically, Thursdays during earnings season follow-through the Wednesday move. If we gapped up yesterday and closed strong, odds favor continued strength early—until profit-taking creeps in Friday.

Watchlist for today:

• NVDA (China chip buzz)
• GS (momentum continuation)
• COIN/MARA/ CRCL(crypto legislation rotation)
• XLF/XLE (sector strength confirmation)

MINDSET MOMENT: WAITING IS WINNING

You’re not late. You’re early with patience.

Don’t force a setup to prove you’re a trader.

Wait for the turn. Strike when aligned.

Because in this game, the disciplined dominate.

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E.D.G.E. = Exceptional Discipline Generates Excellence

Your edge = ✔ Trade the T.U.R.N.™ ✔ Follow the E.D.G.E.™ Protocol ✔ Compound through consistency

In a world where your retirement may be invested in risky, opaque assets you can’t even pronounce… The smartest move is learning to trade your way free.

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