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Time Freedom Trading 2025.07.14 Monday The WTF PRE MARKET REPORT
Published 5 days ago • 7 min read
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New Week.... New Money going to work! Or is your money unemployed? The July rally may be stretching its legs, but don’t get comfy. It’s Showtime on Wall Street as Bank Earnings kick off this week, setting the tempo for the rest of earnings season. The S&P sits near all-time highs. Momentum is strong, but overhead is thin and FOMO is thick—don’t chase the last tick. Trade the retrace. Not the hype.
Meanwhile…
Trump threw his TACO rattle again, warning no more tariff delays—August 1 is D-Day.
Bitcoin broke $123K in a clean summer breakout, with miners ripping and risk appetite bubbling back into crypto as it heads to Capitol Hill this week.
CPI and PPI drop this week, offering a window into the real inflation pulse beneath all the jawboning.
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SWOT ANALYSIS – Week of July 14
STRENGTHS:
Earnings Season = Catalyst Central. Banks tend to lead earnings strength out of the gate.
Crypto bid is strong, showing a resurgence in risk appetite.
Summer seasonality still supports bullish bias, even if temporarily stretched.
WEAKNESSES:
All-time highs = Thin air. Traders are chasing, not planning. That’s when reversals snap hardest.
Trump’s August 1 tariff threat could dent sentiment if companies pre-warn.
Internals show narrowing breadth, with fewer names carrying the load.
OPPORTUNITIES:
Retracements = Precision Entries. Don’t fear the pullback—profit from it.
Miners, defense, and drone stocks are rotating in with strength.
CPI and PPI surprise to the downside? That would be fuel for another leg higher.
THREATS:
Inflation surprises to the upside could rattle the Fed cut narrative.
TOCO Tariffs = Global Trade Volatility. Expect foreign policy posturing to ramp up.
Earnings misses from banks would set a bad tone early.
SECTOR ROTATION SNAPSHOT
Financials are in focus this week as the banks step into the earnings spotlight. JPMorgan, Citi, Wells Fargo, and Bank of America are the tone-setters. Their reports will either confirm economic resilience or expose hidden cracks. Watch for option flow and guidance commentary—especially around consumer credit, deposit trends, and net interest margins.
Crypto and Miners are catching fire as Bitcoin broke clean above $120K. This breakout has reignited momentum across names like MARA, RIOT, and CLSK. As institutional flows follow the breakout, expect short-term traders to pile in. This is the summer breakout we’ve been waiting on—don’t miss the retracement setups.
Defense and Drone stocks like AVAV, KTOS, and LDOS are gaining traction. With Trump pushing tariffs and global tensions simmering, money is rotating into the military-industrial complex and next-gen warfare plays. Drones are no longer a niche—they’re a necessity.
Tech and AI stocks are still leaders, but the air is getting thin. After a massive run, many names are flagging or fading slightly, suggesting some profit-taking or a breather into the CPI print. Watch for rotation into second-tier names or sympathy plays as traders rebalance risk.
Utilities and Staples are quietly catching a bid as defensive posturing creeps in at all-time highs. This doesn’t signal panic—just smart money hedging while riding momentum.
Bottom line: Rotation is real. Ride what’s running, but prepare for pivots. Capital doesn’t disappear—it just moves. Stay two steps ahead.
Watch the tape, not the headlines. Let price confirm the rotation.
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MINDSET MOMENT – Start the Week Like a Pro
“Amateurs chase the breakout.
Operators wait for the retrace.” – The Bald Bull
You don’t need to guess if the rally is real. You need to plan where you’ll strike if the pullback shows its face. Remember, at all-time highs, the edge isn’t being early—it’s being accurate.
Tune In. Understand Rotation. Retrace Setup. Nail the Zone. That’s the T.U.R.N. Framework. Use it. Don’t wing it.
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“The plans of the diligent lead surely to abundance, but everyone who is hasty comes only to poverty.” — Proverbs 21:5
Biblical Truth: Discipline isn’t boring—it’s the bridge to abundance. Just like a good earnings season, consistency compounds more than hype ever will. Don’t chase every candle. Trade the plan.
Don’t fear the pause. Prepare for the play. The rally may cool—but earnings is the ignition. Get positioned, not emotional.
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MENTAL MODEL OF THE DAY
“The Mean Is the Magnet.” Markets revert. That’s your edge. Ride the wave, but respect the retrace.
Now clock in, Stay nimble. Stay surgical. Stay free.
“Because average traders chase. Time Freedom Traders operate.”
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The Bald Bull
—The Bald Bull | Time Freedom Trading™
“One trade. One turn. One moment of clarity. That’s all it takes.”
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P.S. Want to master summer setups before earnings season explodes?
Grab the July issue of the T.F.T. Tactics Newsletter - 10X your trading with $129 for > $1K+ in strategy.
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