TIME FREEDOM TRADING

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WTF PREMARKET REPORT Tuesday, AUGUST 26th, 2025

Welcome back to the battlefield, trader. Futures are flat, the tape feels like molasses, and the whole street is holding its breath for NVDA’s halftime show tomorrow. We’re in “hurry up and wait” mode—sideways drift, low conviction, and mirage setups designed to seduce you into chopping your account. This is the danger zone: when boredom masquerades as opportunity.

Meanwhile, Trump is still pounding the table for lower rates, trying to jawbone Powell into submission. Overseas, France is flashing red over government budget strains, a reminder that sovereign risk is never far from the surface. On the biotech front, Eli Lilly’s GLP-1 pill is rewriting the weight-loss playbook—big promise, big profits on the horizon.

The real action? Underneath the surface. Upgrades, downgrades, sector reshuffles—it’s rotation in slow motion. Let’s break it down.

Key Events Today

• No major economic releases—expect chop and drift until tomorrow’s NVDA earnings.
• Fed speakers sprinkled across the week;
• End-of-month flows can distort moves—this is positioning, not conviction.

Pre-Market Movers

• EchoStar (SATS) — Moon-shot, up 66% after AT&T agreed to buy wireless spectrum licenses for $23B. AT&T barely moved (+0.8%), but EchoStar got the payday.
• Eli Lilly (LLY) — +2% as its orforglipron pill showed late-stage trial success: 10.5% average weight loss vs 2.2% placebo. Game-changer in weight-loss market.
• Canada Goose, VF Corp, Rocky Brands — Retailers all upgraded at Baird. Goose soared +6%, VF and Rocky +3%. Outerwear isn’t dead—it’s in rotation.
• Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) — +2% on Truist upgrade to Buy. Analysts say hyperscale customers are finally scaling with AMD. AI tailwinds intact.
• Oklo (OKLO) — +3% after BofA initiated Buy. Nuclear renaissance narrative continues—AI energy demand is the new uranium play.
• International Brokerage Group (IBKR) — +4% after news it’s replacing Walgreens Boots Alliance in the S&P 500. Index inclusion flows drive the pop.
• Constellation Brands (STZ) — -2% after BofA cut to Underperform. Beer consumption down, margins pressured. The hangover’s real.

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Strengths — NVDA’s earnings anticipation has kept the tech complex resilient. AI, biotech (Lilly), and nuclear (Oklo) show strong secular trends. Retail upgrades hint that discretionary isn’t fully dead yet.

Weaknesses — Low volume drift is a trader’s trap. End-of-month rebalancing distorts signals. Constellation downgrade shows consumer staples aren’t immune to slowdown.

Opportunities — Rotation is creating tactical setups: AMD in semis, Oklo in nuclear, and retail names post-upgrade. Lilly’s pill is a long-term wealth compounding catalyst. Index reshuffles like IBG offer short-term momentum trades.

Threats — Political risk rising with Trump vs. Fed jawboning. France’s fiscal warnings could spill into Euro-zone concerns. Sideways markets breed overtrading—the real threat isn’t the news, it’s your own boredom.

“Calm isn’t weakness—it’s weaponry.”​
Today is not about forcing the tape. It’s about regrouping, reviewing progress, and celebrating milestones. You don’t climb a mountain without plateaus. Plateaus are where strength is built, vision is sharpened, and capital is preserved for the next assault. Rest is preparation.

📖 Biblical Truth

Today is a time to pause. The market doesn’t pay for hyperactivity; it pays for alignment. Waiting for clarity is not wasted time—it’s disciplined stewardship. The same patience that compounds your faith compounds your capital.

Final Word

Sideways action is a mirage. Don’t chase it. Protect your capital, sharpen your edge, and get ready—because tomorrow, NVDA’s report is the storm that breaks the calm.

PRE-LABOR DAY MOVES!

This week starts a fresh cycle. Powell’s words will ripple September’s positioning and Q4 rotations. The traders who prepare now won’t just react—they’ll rotate with the smart money.

September is shaping up to be the most pivotal trading month of the year—Fed cuts, earnings rotations, and Trump tariffs chaos all collide. You don’t want to stumble into it guessing.

Dial into the Time Freedom Trading —your playbook for navigating catalysts like these with precision. Because one trade, one turn, one moment of clarity… could flip your September into a breakout month.

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—The Bald Bull | Time Freedom Trading™

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The market pays those who wait for the turn and strike with conviction.​
​See you on the next trade.

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