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TIME FREEDOM TRADING

"Trade the Turn. Defend the Edge. Compound to Freedom."

WTF PREMARKET REPORT – Friday, AUGUST 15th, 2025

The Markets, The Moves, The Money

Futures are flat as the market digests a week stuffed with CPI, PPI, tariffs, and 13F fireworks. UNH moving the DOW this morning.

• Global stage drama: Putin and Trump meet in Alaska to talk Ukraine. Political theater or actual turning point? Either way, markets are watching.
• Chip chess: Intel is up again after news the Trump admin may buy a stake to lock in U.S. chip independence—factory builds in Ohio get the green light.
• Jobs & retail: Jobless claims hint at a slowing labor market. Retail sales? Solid and In line—no shock, no pop.
• Tariff creep: Prices are trickling higher. Services inflation has the Fed squinting hard.
• 13F flood: Buffett scooped UnitedHealth, triggering a mimic move from the big dogs.
• CoreWeave lockup watch: Eyes are on the tape for that post-IPO unwind.

Later today: Consumer sentiment + business inventories—small data, but it could swing sentiment into the weekend.

Premarket Movers You Need to Know:

• Target (TGT) ↓ 2% — Downgraded by BofA, partnership with Ulta Beauty ending. Long-term story looks like it’s losing the race to peers.
• UnitedHealth (UNH) ↑ 11% — Buffett, Burry, Tepper all took bites. Could be its best day in five years if this sticks.
• Applied Materials (AMAT) ↓ 14% — Beat Q3 earnings, but outlook underwhelmed. Classic “sell the news.”
• Intel (INTC) ↑ 3% — Adding to Thursday’s 7% pop on U.S. government stake talk.
• SanDisk (SNDK) ↓ 11% — Gross margin crushed, from 36.4% → 26.4%.
• Rivian (RIVN) ↓ 1% — $100M in regulatory credit revenue on hold thanks to fuel economy rollback.
• Hims & Hers (HIMS) ↓ 2.7% — FTC reportedly investigating subscription cancellation practices.

SWOT Analysis — Friday Closeout

Strengths: Mega-cap stability is holding indexes steady despite weak spots. Buffett’s UNH buy is restoring some bullish confidence in healthcare. Intel’s political tailwind could fuel U.S. manufacturing momentum.

Weaknesses: Applied Materials’ guidance miss shows semi supply chain fragility. Retail is splitting—Target lagging peers hints at consumer allocation shifting.

Opportunities: 13F season reveals where the smart money is hiding—mimic trades are already moving the tape. CoreWeave lockup expiration could create short-term volatility setups.

Threats: Services inflation keeps the Fed hawkish. Geopolitical noise from Alaska could turn into weekend headline risk. Tariff creep might quietly erode margins into Q4.

The Week Ahead — August 18–22

Macro Catalysts:

• CPE Report — The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge. If it cools, September rate cut odds spike.
• Jackson Hole Meeting — Global central bankers + market psychology soup.
• Earnings Drip — Retail and semis wrapping Q2; watch for margin warnings tied to tariffs.

Rotation Watch:

• If Buffett’s healthcare buy sparks institutional copycats, XLV could break trend.
• Intel’s move could keep semiconductors in play even after AMAT’s weak guidance.
• CoreWeave lockup expiration could fuel both breakout and fade setups—mark it on the watchlist.

B.O.S.S Mode Playbook for Next Week:

1. 13F Mimic Moves — Identify 3–5 top institutional buys and plan high-probability entries.
2. Sector Sniper — Stay locked on semis, healthcare, and any AI infrastructure names tied to CoreWeave.
3. Event Guardrails — Be flat or hedged before CPE and Jackson Hole speeches.
4. Capital Allocation Check — Scale size only in aligned setups; let the rest go.

Mindset Moment — Abundance Is the Asset

Time is your most precious asset.
You can make more money; you can’t make more hours.
The wealthy don’t just trade for dollars—they trade for days back on the calendar. Every smart move in the market is a deposit into your time freedom account. Manage it like a billionaire manages their portfolio—ruthlessly, intentionally, and without apology.

Closing Thought:​
It’s Payday Friday—but we don’t wait for the boss to cut the check. We make our own. Trade the turn. Respect the rotation. And remember—you’re just one trade away from changing your life.

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—The Bald Bull | Time Freedom Trading™

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The market pays those who wait for the turn and strike with conviction.​
​See you on the next trade.

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