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TIME FREEDOM TRADING

"Trade the Turn. Defend the Edge. Compound to Freedom."

WTF PREMARKET REPORT – Monday, AUGUST 11th, 2025

WTF IS MOVING THE MARKET?

The market’s waking up at all-time highs with a catalyst-heavy week ahead: CPI, PPI, Retail Sales, and the quarterly 13F filing drop — all in the next five days. Add in the Trump–Putin Alaska summit (possible Ukraine war wrap-up), and it’s basically geopolitical speed dating.

Tech headlines are spicy — NVIDIA & AMD are in the crosshairs with a revenue-sharing deal with the U.S. government for China sales. Europe’s still on vacation, meaning low liquidity could make this week’s moves faster and sharper.

TODAY's PREMARKET HEAT CHECK - MORNING MOVERS

Winners

• Paramount Skydance (+4%) – Locked in 7-year U.S. rights to UFC starting 2026.
• TKO Group (+2%) – Riding the UFC deal hype.
• AMC (+8%) – Beat Q2 estimates, broke even vs. expected loss.
• CoreWeave (+4%) – JPMorgan price target hike, bullish pipeline outlook.
• Intel (+3%) – CEO heads to the White House after Trump resignation jab.
• Coinbase / MicroStrategy (+3%), Robinhood (+2%) – Bitcoin flirting with ATH on Trump’s 401(k) crypto move.
• Tegna (+29%) – Nexstar takeover talks.
• Rumble (+12%) – Mulling $1.2B Northern Data bid.
• Tesla (+2%) – Seeking UK energy license to power homes and businesses.

Losers

• C3.ai (-32%) – Weak Q1 guidance, widening losses.
• NVIDIA (-1%) / AMD (-1%) – China chip deal with U.S. gov slicing sentiment.
• Nexstar (-1%) – Slight dip despite Tegna acquisition chatter.

SWOT ANALYSIS – THE WEEK AHEAD

Strengths – Bullish momentum from July rally, seasonality still a tailwind, consumer & tech resilience holding the bid. Liquidity support from global stimulus.

Weaknesses – Overbought market with narrowing breadth. Sentiment is euphoric, increasing reversal risk. Low summer liquidity = headline whiplash.

Opportunities – CPI/PPI could cement rate cut outlook. Retail Sales upside surprise would extend the rally. 13F filings can uncover sector rotations before they go public.

Threats – Hot inflation derails Fed cut hopes. Trump–Putin summit flop spikes energy. China chip restrictions hurt semis. Sideways drift could be a topping pattern forming.

MINDSET MOMENT – SIDEWAYS AT THE SUMMIT

The market at highs can feel like a lazy river… until you realize you’re drifting toward a waterfall. Tops aren’t “events” — they’re slow rotations where the money quietly leaves the building. This is when you trade with precision, not hope.

CATALYST CALENDAR – THIS WEEK’S TRIGGERS

• Wed 8/13 – CPI
• Thu 8/14 – PPI, 13F Filings Begin
• Fri 8/15 – Retail Sales, Final 13F Wave
• Trump–Putin Alaska Summit
• Late-cycle retail & tech earnings drips

EARN FREEDOM EVERY DAY, NOT SOMEDAY

You don’t wait for someday to start breathing, so why wait to start earning? Your money’s either compounding or collecting dust. This week is loaded with catalysts—pick your spots, trade with the trend, and stack the wins.

One trade. One turn. One moment of clarity.​
Start today. Freedom doesn’t wait.

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—The Bald Bull | Time Freedom Trading™

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The market pays those who wait for the turn and strike with conviction.​
​See you on the next trade.

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